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Id
c9385eeb-5deb-4744-9ef9-e2aa4d7d7f5a
Author Monographic
Bazerman, Max H.; Michael D. Watkins
Author Combination
Bazerman, Max H.; Michael D. Watkins
Title Monographic
PREDICTABLE SURPRISES: THE DISASTERS YOU SHOULD HAVE SEEN COMING, AND HOW TO PREVENT THEM
Title Combination
PREDICTABLE SURPRISES: THE DISASTERS YOU SHOULD HAVE SEEN COMING, AND HOW TO PREVENT THEM
Place of Publication
Boston, MA
Publisher Name
Harvard Business Press
Date of Publication
2008
Availability
FF: Risk Assessment and Decision Theory
ISBN
978-1-4221-2287-7
Notes
LCCN: 2004017441 Contents: What is a Predictable Surprise? Part I: Prototypes of Predictable Surprises September 11: The Costs of Ignoring a Predictable Surprise The Collapse of Enron and the Failure of Auditor Independence Part II: Why Don't We Act on What We Know? Cognitive Roots: The Role of Human Biases Organizational Roots: The Role of Institutional Failures Political Roots: The Role of Special-Interest Groups Part III: Preventing Predictable Surprises Recognition: Identifying Emerging Threats Earlier Prioritization: Focusing on the Right Problems Mobilization: Building Support for Preventative Action Future Predictable Surprises
Abstract
Even the best-run companies can be blindsided by disasters they should have anticipated. These predictable surprises range from financial scandals to operational disruptions, from organizational upheavals to product failures. In Predictable Surprises, Max Bazerman and Michael Watkins show you how to minimize your risk by understanding and lowering the psychological, organizational, and political barriers preventing you from foreseeing calamity. The authors also offer powerful tools including incentives and formal coalitions that business leaders can use to detect and fend off threats invisible to insiders. Failure to recognize whats coming exposes your company to predictable surprises. Given the stakes involved, this book allows you to focus on the right problems and to act before it is too late.
Call Number
150.B3.P7
Keywords
Economics ; Mitigation ; Terrorism ;